Univ College Dublin 0-4 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 13 Sep 2024

Univ College Dublin
0-4 HT 0-1
Bohemians
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Ireland - FAI Cup – 2024

Univ College Dublin vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.09
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Univ College Dublin v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 64%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.25/4.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.84/0.86
+64% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
227 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0

Univ College Dublin vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Bohemians
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.48 xG 1.62
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
186 Passes 385
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
9 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.10.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-2 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
28.07.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-0 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
28.04.2023 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
17.03.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
30.09.2022 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İRL
07.07.2022 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-3 HT 1-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL

Univ College Dublin 0-4 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
0-4
AWAY Bohemians
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians cruised past Univ College Dublin 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 47% of the ball to Bohemians's 53%, shots finished 5-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.83 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Bohemians?

Univ College Dublin 0-4 Bohemians in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 25%, draw 24%, Bohemians 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ BTTS No
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