Östersunds FK 1-0 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 13 Sep 2024

Östersunds FK
1-0 HT 1-0
Helsingborgs IF
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östersunds FK vs Helsingborgs IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.37
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
18%
5.2
X/2
17%
5.87
X/X
13%
4.78
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.0
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v Helsingborgs IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.54/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.96
+4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +55%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Östersunds FK vs Helsingborgs IF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.85 xG 1.39
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
389 Passes 319
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
07.10.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
10.07.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
27.09.2020 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
27.07.2020 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ
30.08.2019 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 2-0 HT 2-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östersunds FK squeezed past Helsingborgs IF 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Östersunds FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Östersunds FK and 0.50 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs Helsingborgs IF?

Östersunds FK 1-0 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 37%, draw 26%, Helsingborgs IF 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
13 Sep 2024
20:00 Trelleborgs FF vs Örebro Analysis →
20:00 Landskrona vs Östers Analysis →