Trelleborgs FF 2-1 Örebro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.7
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.75
X/2
12%
5.63
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
3.58
2/X
5%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -26%
1.25/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.01
-15% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Örebro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.06.2024 Örebro Örebro 1-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
07.08.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-2 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
17.07.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
17.10.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
12.07.2022 Örebro Örebro 2-2 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
20.02.2021 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2-1
AWAY Örebro
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Örebro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF squeezed past Örebro 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trelleborgs FF as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Trelleborgs FF had 51% of the ball to Örebro's 49%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 1.00 for Örebro.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Örebro?

Trelleborgs FF 2-1 Örebro in the Sweden - Superettan on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Örebro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trelleborgs FF win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 42%, draw 26%, Örebro 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trelleborgs FF), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trelleborgs FF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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