Örebro 1-1 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 24 Jun 2024

Örebro
1-1 HT 0-0
Trelleborgs FF
📅24/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örebro vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.66
No
56%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.5
X/2
9%
7.66
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
10%
5.49
2/X
8%
13.65
Value flag · X/1 at 4.5 — our 24% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.8pp
56%
BTTS No
44%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örebro v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.31/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.48
-21% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5

Örebro vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.06 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
519 Passes 376
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.08.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-2 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
17.07.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-0 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
17.10.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
12.07.2022 Örebro Örebro 2-2 HT 1-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
20.02.2021 Örebro Örebro 0-1 HT 0-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇK
01.10.2018 Örebro Örebro 4-0 HT 2-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro and Trelleborgs FF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Örebro at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Örebro and 1.17 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Trelleborgs FF?

Örebro 1-1 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Örebro 50%, draw 26%, Trelleborgs FF 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Örebro), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Örebro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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