Landskrona 4-3 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 24 Jun 2024

📅24/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.37 — our 27% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
21%
4.48
X/2
7%
9.56
X/X
13%
5.16
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
10%
6.64
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Landskrona EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.20/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.56
-29% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Landskrona
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Örgryte
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Landskrona Landskrona 1-2 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
06.06.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
03.09.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 0-1 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
25.04.2022 Landskrona Landskrona 3-2 HT 3-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
06.11.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 3-2 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
29.05.2021 Landskrona Landskrona 1-1 HT 1-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Landskrona
4-3
AWAY Örgryte
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Landskrona vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Landskrona nicked a narrow win over Örgryte 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Landskrona as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Landskrona had 57% of the ball to Örgryte's 43%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Landskrona had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Landskrona and 1.33 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Landskrona vs Örgryte?

Landskrona 4-3 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Landskrona vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Landskrona 54%, draw 25%, Örgryte 21%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Landskrona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Landskrona) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
24 Jun 2024
20:00 Östers vs Helsingborgs IF Analysis →
20:00 Örebro vs Trelleborgs FF Analysis →