Östers 4-0 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 24 Jun 2024

📅24/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.35
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.25
X/1
11%
4.1
X/2
11%
10.4
X/X
9%
5.69
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
9%
7.49
2/X
7%
14.9
Value flag · 1/X at 14.25 — our 10% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.66/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.37
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.09.2023 Östers Östers 1-1 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
04.04.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
26.09.2021 Östers Östers 2-1 HT 2-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
15.05.2021 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
27.10.2018 Östers Östers 4-4 HT 1-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
08.04.2018 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 3-1 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
4-0
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Östers vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers swept aside Helsingborgs IF 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Östers had 55% of the ball to Helsingborgs IF's 45%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Östers and 1.50 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of Östers vs Helsingborgs IF?

Östers 4-0 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 24/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Östers 49%, draw 26%, Helsingborgs IF 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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