Stocksund 0-1 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.1pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.7pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stocksund EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.73/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.00
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +46%
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
353 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stocksund
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 1-1 HT 0-0 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
20.11.2021 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-3 HT 1-2 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ4
04.09.2021 Stocksund Stocksund 3-2 HT 1-2 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ4
10.10.2020 Stocksund Stocksund 0-0 HT 0-0 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ4
09.04.2020 Stocksund Stocksund 0-2 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK HAZ
24.03.2020 Stocksund Stocksund 1-2 HT 1-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stocksund
0-1
AWAY Karlbergs BK
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Stocksund vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK nicked a narrow win over Stocksund 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stocksund at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stocksund had 56% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 44%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stocksund and 1.50 for Karlbergs BK.

What was the final score of Stocksund vs Karlbergs BK?

Stocksund 0-1 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stocksund vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stocksund win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stocksund 43%, draw 20%, Karlbergs BK 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stocksund) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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