Karlbergs BK 1-1 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.6pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 40%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.67
-1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlbergs BK
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Stocksund
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
20.11.2021 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 2-3 HT 1-2 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ4
04.09.2021 Stocksund Stocksund 3-2 HT 1-2 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ4
10.10.2020 Stocksund Stocksund 0-0 HT 0-0 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ4
09.04.2020 Stocksund Stocksund 0-2 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK HAZ
24.03.2020 Stocksund Stocksund 1-2 HT 1-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
1-1
AWAY Stocksund
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK and Stocksund shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Karlbergs BK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 36% of the ball to Stocksund's 64%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Karlbergs BK and 1.40 for Stocksund.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Stocksund?

Karlbergs BK 1-1 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 46%, draw 24%, Stocksund 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Karlbergs BK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Karlbergs BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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