AFC Eskilstuna 2-2 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 15 Jun 2024

📅15/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.5pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.68/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.35
-15% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
2-2
AWAY FBK Karlstad
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Eskilstuna vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Eskilstuna and FBK Karlstad couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Eskilstuna at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AFC Eskilstuna had 53% of the ball to FBK Karlstad's 47%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of AFC Eskilstuna vs FBK Karlstad?

AFC Eskilstuna 2-2 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 15/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Eskilstuna vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Eskilstuna win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Eskilstuna 46%, draw 27%, FBK Karlstad 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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