Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Borussia Dortmund v Heidenheim — Team-Based Signals
Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Heidenheim
AL1
3-4
HT 2-1
Borussia Dortmund
HAZ
Borussia Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim — Actual Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund saw off Heidenheim 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Borussia Dortmund as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Borussia Dortmund had 61% of the ball to Heidenheim's 39%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 2.69 to 1.80.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund and 1.67 for Heidenheim.
What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim?
Borussia Dortmund 4-2 Heidenheim in the Germany - Bundesliga on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Heidenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund 58%, draw 20%, Heidenheim 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.