Sandhausen 3-1 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over
54%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.94
2-3
47%
1.84
4-5
25%
3.15
6+
6%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.79
1/2
2%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
16%
4.79
X/2
10%
7.14
X/X
16%
5.0
2/1
3%
23.6
2/2
15%
4.88
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 3% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Sandhausen The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II The Market 32%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.83 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
1.03 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.33
Great Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Average
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-2 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
28.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 1-2 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
3 - 1
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
248 Passes 450
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Sandhausen vs Borussia Dortmund II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sandhausen had too much for Borussia Dortmund II 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sandhausen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Borussia Dortmund II saw more of the ball, 60% to 40%, shots finished 16-24.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sandhausen had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Sandhausen against 1.50 for Borussia Dortmund II.

Sandhausen vs Borussia Dortmund II Result & Final Score

Sandhausen 3 - 1 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sandhausen vs Borussia Dortmund II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 46%, draw 27%, Borussia Dortmund II 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandhausen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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