Sandhausen 3-2 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
19%
4.31
X/2
8%
8.47
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
12%
5.99
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
1.48/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.43
-11% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 1-2 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
3-2
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen edged past Borussia Dortmund II 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sandhausen as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 50% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 50%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Sandhausen 3-2 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 50%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund II 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandhausen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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