Lübeck 0-0 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Lübeck
0-0 HT 0-0
Verl
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.16
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 32% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.89
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.63
X/2
10%
5.34
X/X
14%
4.47
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
24%
3.62
2/X
4%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lübeck EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 40%
-15% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.39/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.15
-16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.0 Crosses 32.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lübeck
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Verl
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
29.10.2023 Verl Verl 4-0 HT 1-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
20.03.2021 Lübeck Lübeck 2-2 HT 1-2 Verl Verl AL3
16.11.2020 Verl Verl 1-2 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lübeck
0-0
AWAY Verl
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 22
0 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lübeck vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lübeck and Verl played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lübeck had 34% of the ball to Verl's 66%, shots finished 7-22.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lübeck and 2.33 for Verl.

What was the final score of Lübeck vs Verl?

Lübeck 0-0 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lübeck vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated an Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lübeck 33%, draw 28%, Verl 39%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Verl) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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