Preussen Münster 1-3 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

Preussen Münster
1-3 HT 0-3
Jahn Regensburg
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Preussen Münster vs Jahn Regensburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 26% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
13%
4.67
X/2
7%
6.78
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.88
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.4pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preussen Münster v Jahn Regensburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.91/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.89
+22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
24.5 Crosses –
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Preussen Münster vs Jahn Regensburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-1 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
20.05.2017 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 0-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
17.12.2016 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
07.03.2015 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster 3-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL3
13.09.2014 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3
22.03.2014 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL3

Preussen Münster 1-3 Jahn Regensburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
1-3
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg saw off Preussen Münster 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Preussen Münster at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 50% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 50%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jahn Regensburg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Preussen Münster and 1.33 for Jahn Regensburg.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Jahn Regensburg?

Preussen Münster 1-3 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 43%, draw 28%, Jahn Regensburg 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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