Erzgebirge Aue vs Freiburg II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Erzgebirge Aue v Freiburg II — Team-Based Signals
Erzgebirge Aue vs Freiburg II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
0-0
HT 0-0
Freiburg II
AL3
1-1
HT 0-1
Erzgebirge Aue
AL3
Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Freiburg II — Actual Match Statistics
Erzgebirge Aue squeezed past Freiburg II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Erzgebirge Aue as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 57% of the ball to Freiburg II's 43%, shots finished 11-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 0.33 for Freiburg II.
What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Freiburg II?
Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 Freiburg II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Freiburg II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Erzgebirge Aue win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 52%, draw 24%, Freiburg II 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzgebirge Aue), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.