1860 München 3-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.78
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.51
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
12%
13.6
X/1
11%
4.38
X/2
11%
7.83
X/X
8%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
2/2
16%
5.63
2/X
9%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
1.43/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.99
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
19.3 Crosses 8.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
351 Passes 355
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
04.03.2023 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
27.08.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-1 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
30.01.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 0-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
24.08.2021 1860 München 1860 München 3-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
20.04.2021 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München saw off Viktoria Köln 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day 1860 München made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for 1860 München and 0.83 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Viktoria Köln?

1860 München 3-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 40%, draw 28%, Viktoria Köln 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1860 München), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (1860 München) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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