Phönix Lübeck 2-1 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phönix Lübeck EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
2.02/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.11
+37% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phönix Lübeck
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 6-0 HT 2-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
06.10.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-5 HT 0-3 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
19.02.2023 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 0-2 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
10.12.2021 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-2 HT 1-2 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck ALMBÖL
25.09.2021 Phönix Lübeck Phönix Lübeck 1-7 HT 1-3 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phönix Lübeck
2-1
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phönix Lübeck squeezed past Weiche Flensburg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Phönix Lübeck found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Phönix Lübeck had 48% of the ball to Weiche Flensburg's 52%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weiche Flensburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Phönix Lübeck and 2.17 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg?

Phönix Lübeck 2-1 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phönix Lübeck vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phönix Lübeck win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Phönix Lübeck 40%, draw 27%, Weiche Flensburg 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Phönix Lübeck) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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