Bayern München II 2-2 Aubstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2024

Bayern München II
2-2 HT 0-1
Aubstadt
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Bayern München II vs Aubstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern München II v Aubstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
2.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/3.06
+48% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
445 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
21.5 Crosses 24.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Bayern München II vs Aubstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aubstadt
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.88 xG 1.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
357 Passes 288
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-2 HT 2-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
03.10.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
03.11.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 3-3 HT 2-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL

Bayern München II 2-2 Aubstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München II
2-2
AWAY Aubstadt
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Aubstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II and Aubstadt shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bayern München II at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bayern München II had 66% of the ball to Aubstadt's 34%, shots finished 19-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayern München II and 1.33 for Aubstadt.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Aubstadt?

Bayern München II 2-2 Aubstadt in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Aubstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 60%, draw 21%, Aubstadt 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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