Botev Vratsa 1-1 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

Botev Vratsa
1-1 HT 0-0
Spartak Varna
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Bulgaria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
26%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.3pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.4pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botev Vratsa v Spartak Varna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.02/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.51
-10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5

Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Spartak Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.05.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1

Botev Vratsa 1-1 Spartak Varna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-1
AWAY Spartak Varna
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa and Spartak Varna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 43% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 57%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?

Botev Vratsa 1-1 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 27%, draw 34%, Spartak Varna 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Varna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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