Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Sep 2024

Bala Town
3-0 HT 3-0
Aberystwyth Town
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.5pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.7pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.4pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bala Town v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
2.31/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.62
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 175 · 66%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.11.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-3 HT 1-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
11.11.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
27.09.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
04.11.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
02.09.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-4 HT 0-1 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
26.02.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 2-2 HT 0-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL

Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bala Town
3-0
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bala Town ran out comfortable winners over Aberystwyth Town 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bala Town as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bala Town had 63% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 37%, shots finished 19-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bala Town and 1.00 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Bala Town 3-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 60%, draw 24%, Aberystwyth Town 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bala Town), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bala Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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