Newtown vs Cardiff MU Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newtown v Cardiff MU — Team-Based Signals
Newtown vs Cardiff MU Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Newtown
GAL
2-1
HT 2-1
Cardiff MU
GAL
1-2
HT 0-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Newtown
GAL
Newtown 2-1 Cardiff MU — Actual Match Statistics
Newtown squeezed past Cardiff MU 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 39%) promised a tight game; Newtown found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Newtown had 44% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 56%, shots finished 10-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newtown and 1.00 for Cardiff MU.
What was the final score of Newtown vs Cardiff MU?
Newtown 2-1 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newtown vs Cardiff MU?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Newtown 39%, draw 21%, Cardiff MU 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.