Cardiff MU vs Newtown Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cardiff MU v Newtown — Team-Based Signals
Cardiff MU vs Newtown Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Newtown
GAL
2-1
HT 2-1
Cardiff MU
GAL
1-2
HT 0-0
Cardiff MU
GAL
0-0
HT 0-0
Newtown
GAL
2-1
HT 1-1
Newtown
GAL
Cardiff MU 1-3 Newtown — Actual Match Statistics
Newtown got the better of Cardiff MU 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Newtown as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Cardiff MU had 65% of the ball to Newtown's 35%, shots finished 15-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.17 for Newtown.
What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Newtown?
Cardiff MU 1-3 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Newtown?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 31%, draw 26%, Newtown 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newtown) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.