The New Saints 2-0 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.22
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.05
2-3 Goals
44%
2.32
4-5 Goals
25%
2.39
6+ Goals
11%
4.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
78%
-19.7pp
22%
Draw
13%
+9.3pp
20%
Away Win
9%
+10.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
3.65/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/3.10
+28% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
460 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Connahs Quay
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.03.2024 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-5 HT 0-4 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
31.12.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-4 HT 0-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
11.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-2 HT 3-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
05.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALLK
17.03.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
23.12.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
2-0
AWAY Connahs Quay
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints saw off Connahs Quay 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, The New Saints had 56% of the ball to Connahs Quay's 44%, shots finished 22-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for The New Saints and 0.83 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Connahs Quay?

The New Saints 2-0 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 58%, draw 22%, Connahs Quay 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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