Connahs Quay 1-5 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.18
Over 2.5
61%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.32
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.97
6+ Goals
16%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+5.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-7.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
42%
-3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
58%
+3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.9pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 69%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
0.48/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.49
-51% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +104%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
0W-2D-4L
AWAY The New Saints
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.12.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-4 HT 0-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
11.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 6-2 HT 3-2 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
05.08.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 2-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALLK
17.03.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 0-0 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
23.12.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 1-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
26.08.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
1-5
AWAY The New Saints
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside Connahs Quay 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 30% of the ball to The New Saints's 70%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Connahs Quay and 2.50 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs The New Saints?

Connahs Quay 1-5 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 21%, draw 23%, The New Saints 56%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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