Haverfordwest County 0-1 Penybont — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 8 Mar 2024

Haverfordwest County
0-1 HT 0-1
Penybont
📅08/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2023/2024

Haverfordwest County vs Penybont Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.82
No
60%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.9pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haverfordwest County v Penybont — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Penybont EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.07/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.09
-21% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

Haverfordwest County vs Penybont Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Penybont
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.10.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 3-2 HT 3-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
18.08.2023 Penybont Penybont 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
04.07.2023 Penybont Penybont 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County HAZ
02.12.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-1 HT 2-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
30.08.2022 Penybont Penybont 3-2 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
28.01.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-2 HT 1-2 Penybont Penybont GAL

Haverfordwest County 0-1 Penybont — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haverfordwest County
0-1
AWAY Penybont
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs Penybont
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont nicked a narrow win over Haverfordwest County 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Penybont found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Haverfordwest County had 56% of the ball to Penybont's 44%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Haverfordwest County and 1.83 for Penybont.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs Penybont?

Haverfordwest County 0-1 Penybont in the Wales - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs Penybont?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haverfordwest County win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 36%, draw 31%, Penybont 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Haverfordwest County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haverfordwest County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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