Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bala Town v Caernarfon Town — Team-Based Signals
Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
1-1
HT 0-0
Bala Town
GAL
3-0
HT 2-0
Caernarfon Town
GAL
1-5
HT 1-2
Bala Town
GAL
1-4
HT 0-2
Bala Town
GALLK
0-2
HT 0-0
Bala Town
GAL
Bala Town 1-1 Caernarfon Town — Actual Match Statistics
Bala Town and Caernarfon Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Bala Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Bala Town had 49% of the ball to Caernarfon Town's 51%, shots finished 13-11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bala Town and 0.67 for Caernarfon Town.
What was the final score of Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Bala Town 1-1 Caernarfon Town in the Wales - Premier League on 08/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Caernarfon Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 51%, draw 25%, Caernarfon Town 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bala Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.