Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 48%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.48/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.69
-37% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Vukovar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 3-1 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
25.02.2024 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 HT 0-1 Vukovar Vukovar HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1-2
AWAY Vukovar
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar edged past Dubrava Zagreb 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 50% of the ball to Vukovar's 50%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vukovar led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 2.50 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Vukovar?

Dubrava Zagreb 1-2 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 32%, draw 27%, Vukovar 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR2 More Croatia - 2.HNL
13 Sep 2024
17:30 Opatija vs Jarun Analysis →