Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Alianza Petrolera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-9.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 24%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.31/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.34
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
17.7 Crosses 12.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
295 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.02.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
08.11.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
08.07.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
24.01.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
27.07.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
21.01.2021 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-0
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
0.63 xG 0.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
260 Passes 402
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Alianza Petrolera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira squeezed past Alianza Petrolera 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportivo Pereira as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 41% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 59%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.63 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.83 for Alianza Petrolera.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Alianza Petrolera?

Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Alianza Petrolera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 41%, draw 32%, Alianza Petrolera 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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