Alianza Petrolera 1-2 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.34/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.08
+22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
18.7 Crosses 13.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
08.07.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 1-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
24.01.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
27.07.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-2 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
21.01.2021 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
31.01.2020 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
1-2
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
2.47 xG 1.94
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
283 Passes 161
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira edged past Alianza Petrolera 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Deportivo Pereira made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 61% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 39%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 2.47 to 1.94 — the balance of chances actually favoured Alianza Petrolera.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Petrolera had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.83 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pereira?

Alianza Petrolera 1-2 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 37%, draw 28%, Deportivo Pereira 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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