Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 Feb 2024

📅12/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.33/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.16
+47% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
13.0 Crosses 13.5
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2-0
AWAY Junior
1.43 xG 0.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
337 Passes 272
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
41 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF beat Junior 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 54% of the ball to Junior's 46%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.43 to 0.29.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Junior?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 12/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 44%, draw 29%, Junior 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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