Ekranas 0-1 Nevezis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekranas EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Nevezis EU Bookmakers 58%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.26/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.02
+9% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekranas
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nevezis
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
26.04.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 1-2 HT 0-1 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
16.09.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 2-2 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
21.04.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
09.07.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
18.03.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 4-1 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Ekranas vs Nevezis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis nicked a narrow win over Ekranas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nevezis as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ekranas and 1.60 for Nevezis.

What was the final score of Ekranas vs Nevezis?

Ekranas 0-1 Nevezis in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekranas vs Nevezis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ekranas 27%, draw 25%, Nevezis 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nevezis), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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