Nevezis 1-2 Ekranas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2024

Nevezis
1-2 HT 0-1
Ekranas
📅26/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Lithuania - 1st Division – 2024

Nevezis vs Ekranas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nevezis v Ekranas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ekranas EU Bookmakers 23%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.18/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.57
+32% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Nevezis vs Ekranas Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Ekranas
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Ekranas Ekranas 2-2 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
21.04.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 1-0 HT 0-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
09.07.2022 Ekranas Ekranas 1-0 HT 0-0 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
18.03.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 4-1 HT 1-0 Ekranas Ekranas LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs Ekranas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekranas squeezed past Nevezis 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nevezis at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Nevezis had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Nevezis and 1.00 for Ekranas.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs Ekranas?

Nevezis 1-2 Ekranas in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs Ekranas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nevezis win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 54%, draw 24%, Ekranas 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nevezis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nevezis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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