Sportivo Luqueno 2-3 2 de Mayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.59
Over 2.5
47%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.27/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.30
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
253 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1W-1D-0L
AWAY 2 de Mayo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
21.01.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 2-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2-3
AWAY 2 de Mayo
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo nicked a narrow win over Sportivo Luqueno 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; 2 de Mayo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 55% of the ball to 2 de Mayo's 45%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 0.00 for 2 de Mayo.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo?

Sportivo Luqueno 2-3 2 de Mayo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 38%, draw 26%, 2 de Mayo 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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