Nacional Asuncion 2-0 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
0.95/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.80
-20% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2024 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
28.01.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-2 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
08.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
24.07.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.04.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
09.03.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2-0
AWAY Club Olimpia
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion got the better of Club Olimpia 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 37%) promised a tight game; Nacional Asuncion found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 37% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 63%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.83 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia?

Nacional Asuncion 2-0 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 32%, draw 32%, Club Olimpia 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Club Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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