Nacional Asuncion 0-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 22 Apr 2024

📅22/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.11/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.90
+9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 2-2 HT 2-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
08.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
24.07.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
16.04.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
09.03.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-1 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
13.11.2022 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-1 HT 0-1 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
0-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia edged past Nacional Asuncion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Club Olimpia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 41% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 59%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.83 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia?

Nacional Asuncion 0-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 22/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 34%, draw 27%, Club Olimpia 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Olimpia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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