Katowice 2-2 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.2
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
16%
5.0
X/2
15%
6.19
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.31
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 36%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.27/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.33
-29% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
30.0 Crosses 20.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2022 Katowice Katowice 0-2 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1
10.09.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 3-1 HT 1-0 Katowice Katowice POL1
12.07.2020 Katowice Katowice 1-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL2
19.10.2019 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice POL2
22.11.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
02.08.2014 Katowice Katowice 2-1 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katowice
2-2
AWAY Widzew Lodz
2.00 xG 2.21
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 446
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice and Widzew Lodz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Katowice had 41% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 59%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 2.00 to 2.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Widzew Lodz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katowice and 1.50 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Widzew Lodz?

Katowice 2-2 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Katowice 40%, draw 26%, Widzew Lodz 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Katowice), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katowice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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