Sepsi 3-0 Botosani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2024

Sepsi
3-0 HT 1-0
Botosani
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Romania - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Sepsi vs Botosani Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sepsi v Botosani — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepsi EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Botosani EU Bookmakers 19%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.45/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/2.27
+13% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
464 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
31.0 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sepsi vs Botosani Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepsi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Botosani
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
328 Passes 263
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.02.2024 Botosani Botosani 1-2 HT 0-2 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
23.10.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 5-2 HT 2-2 Botosani Botosani ROM
20.02.2023 Botosani Botosani 1-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
17.09.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 7-0 HT 2-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
10.04.2022 Botosani Botosani 0-1 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
24.01.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM

Sepsi 3-0 Botosani — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sepsi
3-0
AWAY Botosani
2.62 xG 1.12
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
344 Passes 415
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sepsi vs Botosani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi ran out comfortable winners over Botosani 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sepsi as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Sepsi had 46% of the ball to Botosani's 54%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.62 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Sepsi and 0.83 for Botosani.

What was the final score of Sepsi vs Botosani?

Sepsi 3-0 Botosani in the Romania - 1st Division on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepsi vs Botosani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sepsi 52%, draw 25%, Botosani 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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