Botosani 1-2 Sepsi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botosani EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepsi EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.85/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.80
-21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botosani
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sepsi
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
263 Passes 328
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.10.2023 Sepsi Sepsi 5-2 HT 2-2 Botosani Botosani ROM
20.02.2023 Botosani Botosani 1-1 HT 1-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
17.09.2022 Sepsi Sepsi 7-0 HT 2-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
10.04.2022 Botosani Botosani 0-1 HT 0-1 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
24.01.2022 Botosani Botosani 1-0 HT 1-0 Sepsi Sepsi ROM
29.08.2021 Sepsi Sepsi 1-1 HT 0-0 Botosani Botosani ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botosani
1-2
AWAY Sepsi
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botosani vs Sepsi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepsi nicked a narrow win over Botosani 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sepsi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Botosani had 54% of the ball to Sepsi's 46%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepsi led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Botosani and 2.50 for Sepsi.

What was the final score of Botosani vs Sepsi?

Botosani 1-2 Sepsi in the Romania - 1st Division on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botosani vs Sepsi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepsi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Botosani 34%, draw 25%, Sepsi 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepsi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sepsi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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