Petrolul 52 2-3 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 29 Feb 2024

📅29/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrolul 52 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.19/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.11
+13% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
244 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrolul 52
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-3 HT 0-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
05.03.2023 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 0-1 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
15.10.2022 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 0-0 Petrolul 52 Petrolul 52 ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrolul 52
2-3
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Petrolul 52 vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova squeezed past Petrolul 52 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Universitatea Craiova as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrolul 52 had 48% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Petrolul 52 and 1.33 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of Petrolul 52 vs Universitatea Craiova?

Petrolul 52 2-3 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 29/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrolul 52 vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Petrolul 52 29%, draw 29%, Universitatea Craiova 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitatea Craiova), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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