Krka 1-0 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 13 Sep 2024

Krka
1-0 HT 0-0
Ilirija
📅13/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.97
Over 2.5
60%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
47%
-6.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
53%
+6.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -27%
1.51/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.81
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ilirija
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Krka Krka 1-1 HT 1-0 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
04.10.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 3-2 HT 1-1 Krka Krka SLVNK
03.09.2023 Ilirija Ilirija 1-1 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
04.05.2023 Krka Krka 3-2 HT 1-1 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
23.10.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 2-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
19.03.2022 Ilirija Ilirija 0-1 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krka
1-0
AWAY Ilirija
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krka vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krka nicked a narrow win over Ilirija 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Krka as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krka had 64% of the ball to Ilirija's 36%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Krka and 1.50 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Krka vs Ilirija?

Krka 1-0 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krka vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krka win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Krka 47%, draw 25%, Ilirija 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Krka) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Krka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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