Sporting CP U23 1-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +140% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
26.09.2023 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP U23
1-1
AWAY Estoril U23
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP U23 and Estoril U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting CP U23 had 39% of the ball to Estoril U23's 61%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sporting CP U23 and 1.67 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23?

Sporting CP U23 1-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP U23 41%, draw 30%, Estoril U23 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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