Nanjing City 3-0 Shenzhen Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.34
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 28%
-17% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.06/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.85
-43% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
14.6 Crosses 17.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.27 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 3
299 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 14
29 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.05.2025 Shenzhen Juniors Shenzhen Juniors 4-3 HT 3-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
3-0
AWAY Shenzhen Juniors
0.74 xG 0.07
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
115 Passes 330
63% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 2
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City swept aside Shenzhen Juniors 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nanjing City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nanjing City had 33% of the ball to Shenzhen Juniors's 67%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.74 to 0.07.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Nanjing City 3-0 Shenzhen Juniors in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Shenzhen Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 49%, draw 26%, Shenzhen Juniors 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nanjing City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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