Shenzhen Juniors 4-3 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.9
No
62%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
22.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 37% vs market 32.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-10.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.9pp
62%
BTTS No
51%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 33%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.39/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.97
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
17.1 Crosses 12.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen Juniors
4-3
AWAY Nanjing City
1.17 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 10
287 Passes 299
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen Juniors squeezed past Nanjing City 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Shenzhen Juniors made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen Juniors had 47% of the ball to Nanjing City's 53%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.17 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City?

Shenzhen Juniors 4-3 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen Juniors 32%, draw 28%, Nanjing City 40%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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