Dalian Huayi 2-1 Guangxi Baoyun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
67%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Huayi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun EU Bookmakers 14%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.23
-41% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +58%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.7
Crosses 6.8
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Huayi
2-1
AWAY Guangxi Baoyun
2.02 xG 0.44
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
167 Passes 169
66% Pass Accuracy 63%
19 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Baoyun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Huayi edged past Guangxi Baoyun 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dalian Huayi as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Huayi had 49% of the ball to Guangxi Baoyun's 51%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 2.02 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dalian Huayi's control.

What was the final score of Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Dalian Huayi 2-1 Guangxi Baoyun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Baoyun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Huayi win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dalian Huayi 58%, draw 23%, Guangxi Baoyun 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Huayi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Huayi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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