Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
8%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.8pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.45/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.42
-25% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
30.6 Crosses 11.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chongqing Tongliang Long
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 0.42
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
288 Passes 234
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 1-1 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
13.07.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-0 HT 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
21.04.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-4 HT 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long ÇİN2
16.03.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
POST-MATCH Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long edged past Foshan Nanshi 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chongqing Tongliang Long had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 0.50 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Foshan Nanshi?

Chongqing Tongliang Long 2-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Chongqing Tongliang Long 62%, draw 20%, Foshan Nanshi 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
3 May 2025
10:00 Dalian Huayi vs Guangxi Baoyun Analysis →
14:00 Suzhou Dongwu vs Nantong Zhiyun Analysis →
14:30 Shenzhen Juniors vs Nanjing City Analysis →