Foshan Nanshi 0-4 Chongqing Tongliang Long — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
43%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.26
6+ Goals
6%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
17%
+11.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
43%
Away Win
56%
-12.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long EU Bookmakers 60%
+26% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
188 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 84%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.1 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.47 xG 0.89
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
320 Passes 284
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
8 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2024 Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 1-1 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
0-4
AWAY Chongqing Tongliang Long
0.11 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chongqing Tongliang Long cruised past Foshan Nanshi 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chongqing Tongliang Long as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 44% of the ball to Chongqing Tongliang Long's 56%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.11 to 1.33.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Foshan Nanshi 0-4 Chongqing Tongliang Long in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chongqing Tongliang Long win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 29%, draw 28%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chongqing Tongliang Long) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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