Nanjing City 2-2 Suzhou Dongwu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.29
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.33
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.05/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.97
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
14.4 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nanjing City
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.50 xG 0.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
179 Passes 249
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 5
20.08.2023 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 0-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
20.09.2022 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 0-1 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
03.09.2022 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
24.09.2021 Nanjing City Nanjing City 2-1 HT 1-0 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu ÇİN2
07.09.2021 Suzhou Dongwu Suzhou Dongwu 0-0 HT 0-0 Nanjing City Nanjing City ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
2-2
AWAY Suzhou Dongwu
2.46 xG 2.08
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 Passes 174
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nanjing City and Suzhou Dongwu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nanjing City had 62% of the ball to Suzhou Dongwu's 38%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.46 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nanjing City had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nanjing City and 0.80 for Suzhou Dongwu.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Nanjing City 2-2 Suzhou Dongwu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Suzhou Dongwu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nanjing City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 36%, draw 32%, Suzhou Dongwu 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nanjing City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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