Dalian Zhixing 2-0 Yanbian Longding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
2.0
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
5.68
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 44% vs market 38.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
46%
+8.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-8.6pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
Crosses 11.5
Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Zhixing
2-0
AWAY Yanbian Longding
0.46 xG 0.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
184 Passes 309
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Yanbian Longding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing saw off Yanbian Longding 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Dalian Zhixing had 42% of the ball to Yanbian Longding's 58%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.46 to 0.54.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Yanbian Longding?

Dalian Zhixing 2-0 Yanbian Longding in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Yanbian Longding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 54%, draw 25%, Yanbian Longding 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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