Ayr United 1-1 Ross County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 13 Sep 2025

Ayr United
1-1 HT 1-0
Ross County
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Championship – 2025/2026

Ayr United vs Ross County Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
11%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.59
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X EV+ ✓
11%
13.05
X/1
12%
5.44
X/2
13%
5.69
X/X
13%
4.63
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
17%
3.85
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 13.05 — our 11% vs market 4.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Ross County — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ross County EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +9%
1.33/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.64
-5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
184 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 79%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
25.1 Crosses 15.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0

Ayr United vs Ross County Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ross County
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
18.01.2020 Ayr United Ayr United 1-0 HT 1-0 Ross County Ross County İKK
19.04.2019 Ayr United Ayr United 1-3 HT 1-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
26.02.2019 Ross County Ross County 3-2 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
15.12.2018 Ayr United Ayr United 3-3 HT 3-1 Ross County Ross County İKCL
20.10.2018 Ross County Ross County 2-1 HT 2-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKCL
25.08.2015 Ross County Ross County 2-0 HT 1-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKLK
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Ross County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United and Ross County shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ross County led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ayr United and 2.17 for Ross County.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Ross County?

Ayr United 1-1 Ross County in the Scotland - Championship on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Ross County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 34%, draw 30%, Ross County 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ross County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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