Arbroath 0-5 Dunfermline Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
49%
1.69
4-5 Goals
14%
3.95
6+ Goals
8%
19.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.07
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
9%
6.6
X/2
13%
4.76
X/X
15%
4.15
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.06
2/X
9%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-9.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arbroath EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -30%
0.95/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.31
-19% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 72%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.1 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arbroath
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dunfermline Athletic
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
17.02.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
23.12.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
28.11.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
09.12.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-5 HT 0-4 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCK
05.03.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
26.12.2021 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 HT 0-2 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
POST-MATCH Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic cruised past Arbroath 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Dunfermline Athletic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Arbroath and 1.67 for Dunfermline Athletic.

What was the final score of Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Arbroath 0-5 Dunfermline Athletic in the Scotland - Championship on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arbroath vs Dunfermline Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arbroath win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Arbroath 36%, draw 31%, Dunfermline Athletic 33%. The final score 0-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arbroath) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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